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Maintain the continuity and stability of the property market control policies

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  • Source: Dongyang Information Network

    Summary: The real estate market in different parts of China has different foundations and current conditions, different scales of development, and different laws and legal basis for the regulation and control, and the characteristics of the progress data are different. However, the "housing and living without speculation" positioning is still applicable to the real estate market, and it must be adhered to for a long time. Facing the environment of stability, richness, change, and increasing downward pressure , in the case of obvious differences in regulation and control and the tendency of the property market to often break out of differentiation, we must persist in the direction of property market regulation and maintain policy continuity and stability.

    Source: Economic Daily

    The real estate markets in different parts of China have different foundations and current conditions, different scales of development, and different legal laws and regulations, and the characteristics of the progress data are different. However, the "housing and living without speculation" positioning is still applicable to the real estate market, and it must be adhered to for a long time. Facing the environment of stability, richness, change, and increasing downward pressure, in the case of obvious differences in regulation and control and the tendency of the property market to often break out of differentiation, we must persist in the direction of property market regulation and maintain policy continuity and stability.

    Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released changes in the sales prices of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities. People from all walks of life have generally noticed that the prices of second-hand housing in the first-tier cities in northern Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen this month have all shown a downward trend. Some commentators believe that the original signal was unusual; some insiders noticed that prices in third- and fourth-tier cities not only continued to rise month-on-month, but if the increase was still expanding, they pointed out that their false fire was more prosperous.

    Later, the real estate market in different parts of China has different foundations and current conditions, and the scale of development has been different. The legal basis for regulation and control adopted in the past two years is different, and the characteristics of the progress data are different. Also, to observe, judge, and analyze the signals released by the data, we must not only comprehensively study the data in different regions, but also look at both new and old houses, that is, second-hand housing, both at the ring and the year-on-year, and at the same time as the price changes and investment. And sales, with no continuous observation of longer-term data. For example, as far as prices are concerned, under normal circumstances, the prices of most commodities have risen month-on-month, and they have continued to rise under the same increase, with fluctuations or general stability over a period of time. All are normal. As a special commodity, there is no way to make sense.

    The property market in Houhou has generally cooled down, coupled with the cold sales in this area and falling prices. Other students believe that the inflection point in the real estate market or the "cold winter" has arrived, and often even voices call for relaxation of regulation. If you should watch, first, even in the first-tier and second-tier cities of Pareto chart, the price is not Pareto chart and short-term rise or slight correction. For example, in October, second-hand housing prices in first-tier cities showed a downward trend for the first time, but the average decline was only 0.2%, and the situation energy must be continued to be further observed. Secondly, even your limited short-term price reduction is formed on the basis of high prices for a long time. There is no way to get more and more rounds of price increases. Whether measured by the ratio of house price to income or the ratio of sales to rent, China's first and second-tier cities are among the highest in the world. Third, housing prices in second- and third-tier cities still maintain a rising trend, and some still have a high rising trend. The situation of rising housing prices in this region is still very serious, and the difficulty of regulation is still very large. At this time, the regulation was relaxed, and as a result, the former achievements were abandoned.

    Earlier, in this area where house prices have fallen, even the housing companies often jumped out of the chaos of the government department due to the market's initiative to reduce prices, and the owners were besieged by developers due to the decline in house prices. Although it is a small number of cases, it is worth watching. Therefore, the first is to show that the region still cannot get rid of excessive dependence on land finance. Later, there were concerns that lowering house prices would affect sales and taxes, and then affect economic growth. Why did they hesitate to intervene in the market behavior of enterprises by administrative means? The second is to show that although there is such hype funds entering the real estate market. There is no way in the world for commodity prices to go up or down. Buying a house later is to speculate for living. It is not sold later in a certain period of time. Why do you have to tolerate the ups and downs of commodity housing prices? ? There has been hype funding and no self-sustaining demand, which also shows the importance of ensuring the stable and healthy development of the real estate market and no longer rising prices so as to avoid "riding a tiger".

    This local government should be aware that land finance is not sustainable. In the past, the small amount of property market inventory in many third- and fourth-tier cities not only had to bring real Jinshan Yinshan, it would not occupy a small amount of social investment and bank funds, reduce investment benefits, bring bubbles and financial risks , and affect the investment of this industry. And development. At the same time, investment speculative buyers should also understand that it is the inflow of real estate funds that drives up house prices and accumulates bubbles. There is no way a snowflake can be innocent during an avalanche. Second-tier, third-tier, and even fourth-tier and fifth-tier cities where housing prices are still high and rising rapidly must be effectively regulated later to curb the rise in housing prices as soon as possible, and it will inevitably repeat the same mistakes of first-tier and second-tier cities.

    The central government has long made it clear that "houses are used for living and all are used for speculation." Although the adjustment and control must be based on the city's policy, the "housing and living without speculation" positioning is still applicable to the real estate market, and all have the right and the right measures, and must be adhered to for a long time. Even in the face of a stable, rich and changing environment, with increasing downward pressure, in the case of obvious differences in the effect of regulation and control, and the trend of the property market often breaks apart, it is even more important to adhere to the direction of property market regulation and maintain policy continuity and stability , Do not send the wrong signal to the market and the public, so as not to cause more and larger "secondary disasters."

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